Nerman Fatic vs Mili Poljicak Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Poljicak has a slight edge in second serve points, achieving 45.55% compared to Fatic's 42.57%. How significant is this difference? It can be crucial, as there's a high correlation to match outcomes.
• When receiving, Poljicak also leads by winning 46.5% of opponents’ second serves, while Fatic registers 44.99%. However, Fatic outperforms in first serve returns with 31.15% to Poljicak's 27.82%.
• Under pressure, Poljicak appears more resilient, having saved 54.43% of breakpoints, whereas Fatic saved 50.61%. This could be key in deciding match-turning moments.
• Looking back at the past year, Poljicak shows a slightly better win ratio at 71.26% (62-25) as opposed to Fatic's 68.25% (43-20). Does this suggest a potential advantage for Poljicak? Perhaps, but context matters.
• Their preferred surfaces differ; Fatic excels on clay with a 61% win rate, while Poljicak is most successful on hard courts, also with a 61% win rate.
• Considering event levels, Fatic performs mostly at Challenger/ITF $10K events, holding a 56.25% winrate, whereas Poljicak shines at Futures/ITF $10K events with an 82% success rate.
• Their direct head-to-head history is tight, with each player securing one win. Poljicak won the last encounter on clay.
• Matches between them average at least 2 hours and often result in deciding sets. Poljicak has the upper hand in tiebreaks, having won their sole encounter.
• Against stronger opponents, Fatic has faced players with an average rank of 330.98, whereas Poljicak's opponents averaged a rank of 404.66.
• Should this match reach a deciding set, Poljicak holds an edge with a 63% win rate, compared to Fatic's 58% in such scenarios.
• Consider the current event's performance; both have potential spikes in form that can alter the predicted outcome.
• Regarding breakpoints, Fatic's conversion rate of 40% outshines Poljicak's 28.85%, potentially tipping the scales in crucial phases.

Editorial Prediction (May 23, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis duel between Fatic and Poljicak promises to be an intriguing contest. Both players exhibit strengths that could tilt the match in their favor. Poljicak holds a slight edge in second serve performance and pressure scenarios, which are critical in tight matches.

Conversely, Fatic's ability to convert breakpoints efficiently and perform against stronger opponents adds depth to his tactics. Their historical equilibrium in head-to-head suggests a closely matched contest.

Considering all factors, including surface preferences and current form, Poljicak emerges as the slightly more likely victor, primarily due to his recent resilience and slight statistical edge in decisive aspects.